China bypasses US chip curbs with record Southeast Asian imports

Craig Nash
By
Craig Nash
AI-powered tech writer covering artificial intelligence, chips, and computing.
9 Min Read
China bypasses US chip curbs with record Southeast Asian imports — AI-generated illustration

Chinese chip equipment imports hit record levels in 2025, with fabs routing massive shipments through Singapore and Malaysia to circumvent US export restrictions. The strategy reveals how Beijing is building supply chain resilience while domestic tool makers grab market share and post record revenues—though intense price competition is already squeezing their margins.

Key Takeaways

  • Singapore chip tool imports to China surged to $5.7 billion in 2025, up 17% year-over-year
  • Malaysia shipments more than doubled to $3.4 billion, signaling accelerated Southeast Asian rerouting
  • Direct US chip equipment imports to China collapsed 34% to $2 billion, the lowest since 2017
  • Top three US equipment makers generated nearly $19 billion from China in fiscal 2025 via diversified production
  • Domestic Chinese firms Naura, AMEC, ACM Research, and Piotech posted record 2025 revenues amid localization push

How Chinese fabs are sidestepping US restrictions

The numbers tell a stark story of supply chain rerouting. Singapore saw Chinese chip equipment imports jump to $5.7 billion in 2025, up more than 17% year-over-year, while Malaysia’s shipments more than doubled from 2024 to $3.4 billion. Meanwhile, direct imports from the United States plummeted 34% to around $2 billion, marking the lowest volume since 2017. The pattern is unmistakable: Chinese fabs are importing the same US-made tools, just not directly from America.

This is not evasion through black markets or illicit channels. It reflects a legal but strategically significant shift in how semiconductor equipment flows through global supply chains. Singapore and Malaysia host major semiconductor ecosystems and logistics hubs. Equipment destined for Chinese fabs can legally transit through these countries, where it is repackaged, serviced, or simply warehoused before crossing into China. US restrictions target direct shipments to China, not transshipment through third countries. The loophole is real, and Beijing is exploiting it systematically.

US tool makers still profiting despite export curbs

Here is the counterintuitive part: the top three US chip equipment makers generated nearly $19 billion in combined revenue from China during fiscal 2025. That is far higher than the $2 billion in direct US imports would suggest. The gap exists because these companies have diversified their production and distribution networks. They manufacture in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan, then ship to Singapore and Malaysia for final delivery to Chinese customers. The revenue reaches US firms; the export restrictions do not block it.

This arrangement satisfies the letter of US law while undermining its intent. American companies continue to profit from Chinese fabs while maintaining compliance with export controls. Netherlands and Japan remain China’s primary external sources of semiconductor manufacturing equipment by shipment origin, but US firms retain substantial indirect access through their global manufacturing footprint. The US is reportedly considering new legislation to further tighten China’s access to chipmaking equipment, suggesting policymakers recognize this loophole.

Chinese chip equipment makers claim record revenues

The real winner in this dynamic is China’s domestic semiconductor tool industry. Naura, AMEC, ACM Research, and Piotech all posted record revenues in 2025 as US restrictions accelerated the shift toward local alternatives. Chinese fabs cannot rely entirely on imports, so they are investing heavily in homegrown equipment makers. The strategy makes sense: build indigenous capability, reduce dependence on foreign suppliers, and capture the margin that would otherwise flow to US or European competitors.

But success is already colliding with brutal economics. Price competition among Chinese tool makers is squeezing margins despite record revenues. When multiple domestic firms chase the same market, they undercut each other on cost. Naura, AMEC, ACM Research, and Piotech are growing in volume but shrinking in profit per unit. This is the classic commoditization trap: achieve scale, then watch pricing power evaporate. Chinese tool makers will need to differentiate through reliability, performance, and ecosystem integration to avoid a race to the bottom.

What comes next for the semiconductor supply chain

The 2025 import data reveals a semiconductor supply chain in active restructuring. China is not abandoning foreign equipment—it cannot, because domestic alternatives are still inferior in some categories. Instead, Beijing is hedging: importing record volumes through Southeast Asia to maintain access to advanced foreign tools while simultaneously building domestic capacity. This dual strategy buys time and reduces vulnerability to future US restrictions.

The US response will likely escalate. New legislation targeting transshipment loopholes could force Singapore and Malaysia to tighten their own export controls, or impose secondary sanctions on companies that facilitate indirect shipments to China. But enforcement is difficult and economically costly for allied nations. Southeast Asian countries benefit from the logistics revenue and do not want to alienate China. The result is a strategic standoff where both sides adapt faster than policy can respond.

Can Chinese tool makers compete long-term?

Domestic Chinese chip equipment makers have achieved rapid growth, but record 2025 revenues mask a deeper challenge: can they maintain profitability while competing on price? Naura, AMEC, ACM Research, and Piotech are still behind US and Dutch competitors in some key technologies. They excel in mature process nodes but struggle with latest lithography and deposition tools. Margin pressure will force them to choose between investing in R&D to close the gap or accepting commoditized returns. Neither path is easy when price competition is already intense.

Why does the Singapore and Malaysia surge matter?

The shift in import origins is not just a statistical quirk—it signals how quickly global supply chains can reorganize under pressure. Chinese chip equipment imports through Singapore and Malaysia more than doubled in 2025 because both countries have the infrastructure, legal frameworks, and economic incentives to facilitate transshipment. This is a blueprint for how other nations might bypass sanctions or export controls. It also shows that the US cannot unilaterally restrict technology access without cooperation from allies in the Pacific region.

Is the US losing control of chip equipment exports?

Direct US chip equipment exports to China have collapsed, but the broader picture is more complicated. Top US equipment makers still generate substantial revenue from Chinese fabs, just not through direct shipments. This suggests the export controls are working as intended in one sense—they force Chinese fabs to source from more expensive or less convenient channels. But they are not working in another sense: US companies still profit, and China still gets the tools it needs. The real constraint is not availability but cost and lead time.

What happens if the US tightens restrictions further?

New US legislation targeting transshipment could cut off the Singapore and Malaysia loophole, but the consequences would ripple across the region. Singapore and Malaysia would face pressure to comply, which could damage their relationships with China and disrupt their own semiconductor industries. Alternatively, US restrictions could push Chinese fabs to accelerate investment in domestic alternatives, which would hurt US equipment makers’ long-term revenue even more. There is no clean policy solution that serves all interests simultaneously.

The 2025 import data reveals a semiconductor industry in strategic transition. Chinese fabs are importing record volumes of advanced foreign equipment while simultaneously building domestic alternatives. US equipment makers are still profitable but increasingly vulnerable to supply chain restructuring. And Chinese tool makers are growing fast but facing margin pressure that will force consolidation and specialization. The next chapter will be written by whoever can navigate this three-way competition most effectively.

This article was written with AI assistance and editorially reviewed.

Source: Tom's Hardware

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AI-powered tech writer covering artificial intelligence, chips, and computing.